The newly expanded federal Child Tax Credit (CTC) will provide a significant financial boost for families throughout the U.S. While most low-income families have already received advanced payments of the new CTC, because families need to have filed a tax return to receive it, some low-income families will likely miss out on receiving some or all of the credit. This brief sheds light on which Californian children and families are at risk of not receiving the CTC. Using matched social services and state tax data, we analyze the characteristics of over 650,000 children who we estimate are at risk of not receiving the expanded CTC. One main reason that these children may miss out on the CTC is that their families had little reason to file taxes before the pandemic.
Select Media Coverage
Sacramento Bee: Not getting a child tax credit in California? Maybe you should be (October 5, 2021)
Fresno Bee: Millions of dollars available for Fresno-area families in Child Tax Credit. How to sign up (September 22, 2021)
ABC 10: Study finds Hispanic, Native American children missing out on child tax credit (September 15, 2021)
Univision 14: Interview on the Child Tax Credit (September 23, 2021)
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1. Over half (56%) of children at risk are Hispanic and 30% speak Spanish at home.
2. Almost half of all children at risk of not receiving the CTC are either part of families headed by undocumented adults or are headed by an adult who would usually not file their own tax return because they could be claimed as a dependent.
Children at risk of not receiving the CTC, by family type
Notes: Sample size is 556,003.
Source: California Department of Social Services data (2019–20) and Franchise Tax Board data (TY 2019).